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The European Commission's Autumn 2025 economic forecast estimates that the Greek economy is expected to expand at a strong rate of 2.1% in 2025 and 2.2% in 2026. Strong consumer spending and investments, supported by EU funds, are driving the GDP growth, the forecast underlines. Economic growth is estimated to abate in 2027, reaching 1.7%, as the European Union's Recovery and Resilience Facility comes to an end. Inflation is expected to slow gradually to 2.4 percent by 2027, even as strong demand and projected increases in energy prices continue to push consumer costs higher. Unemployment has fallen to levels not seen in more than a decade, though structural challenges persist. Greece's fiscal outlook for 2025-27 remains favorable, with generally stable primary surpluses despite tax cuts and new social measures. In the first half of 2025, the Greek economy grew 2 percent year-on-year, driven mainly by private consumption and tourism.

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